September 28, 2022

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In America, 43% consider civil war “likely” in ten years | the world

Two in five Americans believe the Civil War America At least partially possible in the next decade. Given the political orientation of respondents, this idea is stronger among Republicans than among Democrats.

Data from a poll conducted by polling firm YouGov and the magazine EconomistCitizens were asked about changes in the country’s political environment and what they expect in the future.

When asked about the probability of a civil war on American soil within the next ten years, participants could answer very likely, somewhat likely, very unlikely, and unlikely.

While 43% said a new civil war was very or somewhat likely in the next decade, 35% thought neither very nor very likely. Another 22% were not sure.

Among those who identify as extreme Republicans, the percentage who believe in a civil war rises to 54% — with one in five saying it is very likely. Another 30% felt it was very much or not at all, and 16% were not sure.

Among committed Democrats, 40% said it was very or very likely, 39% said it was neither very nor very likely, and 21% were unsure.

More division and political violence

This idea is linked to the way Americans view the political landscape in the US today, with most believing that polarization and political violence are on the rise and will only get worse.

The outlook for the future is not good. According to the survey, 63% believe these segments will increase in the coming years, while 7% think they will decrease.

GOP supporters are more likely to see society as divisive. Of those, 79% say the political divide has widened since last year, and 72% predict it will widen in the coming years. Among Democrats, those percentages are 59% and 58%, respectively.

Respondents’ responses were similar when asked about political violence. Overall, 65% responded that political violence had increased since the beginning of 2021, while only 8% said it had decreased.

Also, 62% think political violence in the United States will increase in the next few years, compared to 9% who believe it will decrease.

On January 6, 2021, the country witnessed an episode that has become a symbol of political hostility. The supporters of the then president numbered in hundreds Donald Trump Attacked the Capitol, seat of the US Congress Washington DCDuring the Democratic victory confirmation session Joe Biden In the 2020 presidential election, Trump, a Republican, prompted a crowd to march on the building, accusing him of election fraud.

Nine deaths, including police suicides, were linked to the attack. Since then, fears of political violence have increased America.

Last Sunday, Republican Senator Lindsey Graham predicted “riots in the streets” if Trump is formally charged in the case. The speech generated widespread rejection.

Mary McCord, a former deputy attorney general, told CNN that “it’s incredibly irresponsible for the police and the Department of Justice to do their jobs and make thinly veiled threats of violence based on an elected official.”

According to McCord, saying that “people are angry and can be violent” shows “what Trump knows, what Lindsey Graham knows: People are hearing this and people are actually mobilizing and doing things.” According to him, “January 6 was the result of this same type of tactic by President Trump and his allies.”